The storage price crunch, in data

Since Jul 25, the typical NAS hard drive has gone from $26/TB to $53/TB - up 106%. Prices sat flat for over a year, then roughly doubled as the AI datacenter buildout swallowed hard-drive supply.

$25 $30 $35 $40 $45 $50 $55 Jul 24 Dec 24 May 25 Nov 25 Apr 26 Sep 26

Monthly median $/TB across ES NAS hard drives (8TB and up), from our daily price history - 67 drives in the latest month.

Fleet failure rate

1.41% avg AFR across all Backblaze-tracked models.

CMR vs SMR

156 CMR (RAID-safe) · 16 SMR (avoid in arrays).

Coverage

15 capacity tiers with a live ES price.

Best value ($/TB) by capacity

TBCheapest driveTech$/TBPrice
26 WUH722626ALE6L4 WD Ultrastar DC HC590 CMR $55.65 €1,340
24 ST24000NT002 Seagate IronWolf Pro CMR $45.86 €1,019
22 MG10AFA22TE Toshiba MG10 CMR $46.10 €939
20 WUH722020BLE6L4 WD Ultrastar DC HC560 CMR $27.97 €518
18 MG09ACA18TE Toshiba MG09 CMR $51.26 €854
16 ST16000VE002 Seagate SkyHawk AI CMR $46.42 €688
14 ST14000NT001 Seagate IronWolf Pro CMR $42.35 €549
12 ST12000VN0008 Seagate IronWolf CMR $47.83 €531
10 ST10000VN000 Seagate IronWolf CMR $46.87 €434
8 ST8000VN004 Seagate IronWolf CMR $52.45 €388
6 ST6000DM003 Seagate BarraCuda SMR $44.93 €250
4 WD4005FFBX WD Red Pro CMR $53.73 €199
3 ST3000DM007 Seagate BarraCuda SMR $55.58 €154
2 ST2000DM008 Seagate BarraCuda SMR $76.66 €142
1 ST1000VX013 Seagate SkyHawk CMR $147.16 €136

Most reliable (lowest AFR)

DriveAFRSample
WUH722222ALE6L4 22TB 0.47% 45,556
MG11ACA24TE 24TB 0.50% 9,597
ST16000NM001G 16TB 0.55% 34,998
ST16000NM000J 16TB 0.72% 463
WUH721414ALE6L4 14TB 0.78% 8,548

Highest AFR (watch list)

DriveAFRSample
HUH721212ALE604 12TB 3.27% 25,045
ST24000NM002H 24TB 3.04% 9,482
MG08ACA16Tx 16TB 1.41% 50,539
MG09ACA16TE 16TB 1.30% 893
MG07ACA14TE 14TB 1.29% 37,907

Biggest price drops (ES)

DriveWasNowDrop
WUH721414ALE6L4 14TB €829 €569 -31%
ST6000DM003 6TB €285 €250 -12%
ST16000VE002 16TB €729 €688 -6%
ST10000VN000 10TB €488 €434 -11%
MG11ACA24TE 24TB €1,202 €1,089 -9%
MG09ACA18TE 18TB €907 €854 -6%
WD181KFGX 18TB €1,107 €869 -22%
ST6000VN006 6TB €382 €295 -23%
ST20000NT001 20TB €1,073 €984 -8%
ST6000NT001 6TB €382 €304 -20%

See the live deals feed for the full list.

Method

Failure rates are recomputed from Backblaze's Drive Stats (drive-days and failures) - source: Backblaze thru Q2 2026 - not vendor MTBF numbers; models Backblaze does not track use the manufacturer's series spec. Prices are the cheapest in-stock new Amazon offer per drive in ES, refreshed daily, with $/TB in USD for cross-currency ranking. Explore it all in the full filterable table.